Unless a rebate of some kind happens, you will not get the needed uptick in replacing oil furnaces. I just had this exact conversation this past weekend with my parents. Their house is built back in the 1950s and has an oil furnace. They had replaced it about 8 years ago and refused to get a heat pump due to their current system still being under warranty. Unless it is a free swap, they will never replace it unless the unit dies and is non-repairable.
Morons. Just a bunch of morons. It was never about AMERICAN jobs, it is about CHEAP EXPLOITATIVE jobs.